Mexico Liga MX

Tigres UANL vs Toluca
Predictions & Fair Odds

· Upcoming fixture

Captured Refresh overdue · historical prices

Match winner

15 bookmakers

Tigres UANL

32.0%
Fair odds
3.12
Bookmakers
15
Book probability range
30.6%–33.4%

Draw

26.6%
Fair odds
3.77
Bookmakers
15
Book probability range
25.8%–28.4%

Toluca

41.4%
Fair odds
2.41
Bookmakers
15
Book probability range
39.8%–42.8%

Oldest contributing quote: 8 Oct 2026, 04:50 UTC

Goals · over / under 2.5

5 bookmakers

Over

54.7%
Fair odds
1.83
Bookmakers
5
Book probability range
54.1%–55.3%

Under

45.3%
Fair odds
2.21
Bookmakers
5
Book probability range
44.7%–45.9%

Oldest contributing quote: 8 Oct 2026, 04:50 UTC

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How to read Sparks Market Probability

Sparks Market Probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated bookmaker margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market. We take the median probability for each outcome, then normalize the outcomes to total 100%.

Sparks Fair Odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage uses at least two bookmakers, with quote ages limited to 90 minutes when captured. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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