SPARKSFootball intelligence

Toluca vs Tijuana prediction

Toluca
VSCaptured 20 Oct 2026, 05:45 UTC
Tijuana
Captured Pre-match market snapshot
Toluca65.9%1.52
Draw19.5%5.12
Tijuana14.6%6.87
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Toluca

Fair probability65.9%

Fair odds (decimal)1.52

Draw

Fair probability19.5%

Fair odds (decimal)5.12

Tijuana

Fair probability14.6%

Fair odds (decimal)6.87

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 05:45 UTC
2 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability63.3%

Fair odds (decimal)1.58

Under

Fair probability36.7%

Fair odds (decimal)2.73

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 2 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 05:45 UTC
4 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 3.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability42.3%

Fair odds (decimal)2.37

Under

Fair probability57.7%

Fair odds (decimal)1.73

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 4 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 05:45 UTC

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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