SPARKSFootball intelligence
France Ligue 1Archived snapshot

Toulouse vs Troyes prediction

Toulouse
0–0Captured 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
Troyes
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Toulouse58.9%1.70
Draw22.3%4.49
Troyes18.8%5.31
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Toulouse

Fair probability58.9%

Fair odds (decimal)1.70

Draw

Fair probability22.3%

Fair odds (decimal)4.49

Troyes

Fair probability18.8%

Fair odds (decimal)5.31

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
Toulouse · Did not occur
Draw · Occurred
Troyes · Did not occur
5 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability58.1%

Fair odds (decimal)1.72

Under

Fair probability41.9%

Fair odds (decimal)2.39

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 5 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
Over · Did not occur
Under · Occurred

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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