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Germany Bundesliga IArchived snapshot

TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction

TSG Hoffenheim
3–0Captured 24 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC
Bayer Leverkusen
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
TSG Hoffenheim34.6%2.89
Draw24.3%4.12
Bayer Leverkusen41.1%2.43
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

TSG Hoffenheim

Fair probability34.6%

Fair odds (decimal)2.89

Draw

Fair probability24.3%

Fair odds (decimal)4.12

Bayer Leverkusen

Fair probability41.1%

Fair odds (decimal)2.43

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC
TSG Hoffenheim · Occurred
Draw · Did not occur
Bayer Leverkusen · Did not occur
2 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability68.0%

Fair odds (decimal)1.47

Under

Fair probability32.0%

Fair odds (decimal)3.13

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 2 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC
Over · Occurred
Under · Did not occur
10 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 3.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability48.6%

Fair odds (decimal)2.06

Under

Fair probability51.4%

Fair odds (decimal)1.95

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 10 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC
Over · Did not occur
Under · Occurred

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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