Match winner
Valencia
Fair probability27.8%
Fair odds (decimal)3.60
Draw
Fair probability26.8%
Fair odds (decimal)3.74
Villarreal
Fair probability45.4%
Fair odds (decimal)2.20
No recorded probability history available for this match.
Fair probability27.8%
Fair odds (decimal)3.60
Fair probability26.8%
Fair odds (decimal)3.74
Fair probability45.4%
Fair odds (decimal)2.20
Fair probability54.9%
Fair odds (decimal)1.82
Fair probability45.1%
Fair odds (decimal)2.22
Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.
Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.
Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.
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