SPARKSFootball intelligence
Spain La LigaArchived snapshot

Valencia vs Villarreal prediction

Valencia
1–2Captured 24 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC
Villarreal
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Valencia27.8%3.60
Draw26.8%3.74
Villarreal45.4%2.20
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Valencia

Fair probability27.8%

Fair odds (decimal)3.60

Draw

Fair probability26.8%

Fair odds (decimal)3.74

Villarreal

Fair probability45.4%

Fair odds (decimal)2.20

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC
Valencia · Did not occur
Draw · Did not occur
Villarreal · Occurred
5 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability54.9%

Fair odds (decimal)1.82

Under

Fair probability45.1%

Fair odds (decimal)2.22

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 5 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC
Over · Occurred
Under · Did not occur

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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