SPARKSFootball intelligence

Vasco da Gama vs Boca Juniors prediction

Vasco da Gama
VSCaptured 20 Oct 2026, 06:45 UTC
Boca Juniors
Captured Pre-match market snapshot
Vasco da Gama35.7%2.80
Draw29.8%3.36
Boca Juniors34.5%2.90
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

15 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Vasco da Gama

Fair probability35.7%

Fair odds (decimal)2.80

Draw

Fair probability29.8%

Fair odds (decimal)3.36

Boca Juniors

Fair probability34.5%

Fair odds (decimal)2.90

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 15 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 06:45 UTC
5 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability42.1%

Fair odds (decimal)2.38

Under

Fair probability57.9%

Fair odds (decimal)1.73

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 5 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 06:45 UTC

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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