SPARKSFootball intelligence
England ChampionshipArchived snapshot

Wolverhampton vs Watford prediction

Wolverhampton
1–0Captured 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
Watford
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Wolverhampton66.5%1.50
Draw20.2%4.96
Watford13.4%7.47
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

15 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Wolverhampton

Fair probability66.5%

Fair odds (decimal)1.50

Draw

Fair probability20.2%

Fair odds (decimal)4.96

Watford

Fair probability13.4%

Fair odds (decimal)7.47

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 15 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
Wolverhampton · Occurred
Draw · Did not occur
Watford · Did not occur
5 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability57.7%

Fair odds (decimal)1.73

Under

Fair probability42.3%

Fair odds (decimal)2.37

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 5 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
Over · Did not occur
Under · Occurred

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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