SPARKSFootball intelligence

Aston Villa vs Viking FK prediction

Aston Villa
VSCaptured 20 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC
Viking FK
Captured Pre-match market snapshot
Aston Villa77.5%1.29
Draw13.9%7.19
Viking FK8.6%11.60
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Aston Villa

Fair probability77.5%

Fair odds (decimal)1.29

Draw

Fair probability13.9%

Fair odds (decimal)7.19

Viking FK

Fair probability8.6%

Fair odds (decimal)11.60

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC
2 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability72.8%

Fair odds (decimal)1.37

Under

Fair probability27.2%

Fair odds (decimal)3.67

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 2 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC
4 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 3.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability54.4%

Fair odds (decimal)1.84

Under

Fair probability45.6%

Fair odds (decimal)2.19

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 4 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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