No recorded probability history available for this match.
16 bookmakers · consensus
Match winner
CONSENSUS
VfB Stuttgart
Fair probability29.4%
Fair odds (decimal)3.40
Draw
Fair probability24.7%
Fair odds (decimal)4.04
Atletico Madrid
Fair probability45.9%
Fair odds (decimal)2.18
Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
2 bookmakers · consensus
Goals · over / under 2.5
CONSENSUS
Over
Fair probability65.0%
Fair odds (decimal)1.54
Under
Fair probability35.0%
Fair odds (decimal)2.85
Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 2 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
4 bookmakers · consensus
Goals · over / under 3.5
CONSENSUS
Over
Fair probability44.7%
Fair odds (decimal)2.24
Under
Fair probability55.3%
Fair odds (decimal)1.81
Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 4 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.
How probabilities are built
Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.
Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.
