SPARKSODDS
Snapshot archiveUpdated 1h 15m ago

Germany Bundesliga I

Augsburg vs Bayern Munich
Predictions & Fair Odds

· Upcoming fixture

Captured Pre-match market snapshot

Match winner

16 bookmakers

Augsburg

8.7%
Fair odds
11.56
Bookmakers
16
Book probability range
7.1%–10.0%

Draw

11.6%
Fair odds
8.65
Bookmakers
16
Book probability range
10.2%–13.2%

Bayern Munich

79.8%
Fair odds
1.25
Bookmakers
16
Book probability range
78.0%–82.5%

Oldest contributing quote: 8 Oct 2026, 21:40 UTC

Goals · over / under 2.5

2 bookmakers

Over

83.0%
Fair odds
1.20
Bookmakers
2
Book probability range
82.8%–83.2%

Under

17.0%
Fair odds
5.88
Bookmakers
2
Book probability range
16.8%–17.2%

Oldest contributing quote: 8 Oct 2026, 21:40 UTC

Goals · over / under 4.5

10 bookmakers

Over

49.5%
Fair odds
2.02
Bookmakers
10
Book probability range
49.2%–52.0%

Under

50.5%
Fair odds
1.98
Bookmakers
10
Book probability range
48.0%–50.8%

Oldest contributing quote: 8 Oct 2026, 21:40 UTC

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How to read Sparks Market Probability

Sparks Market Probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated bookmaker margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market. We take the median probability for each outcome, then normalize the outcomes to total 100%.

Sparks Fair Odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage uses at least two bookmakers, with quote ages limited to 90 minutes when captured. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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