SPARKSFootball intelligence

Bayern Munich vs Arsenal prediction

Bayern Munich
VSCaptured 20 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC
Arsenal
Captured Pre-match market snapshot
Bayern Munich46.4%2.15
Draw25.1%3.98
Arsenal28.4%3.52
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Bayern Munich

Fair probability46.4%

Fair odds (decimal)2.15

Draw

Fair probability25.1%

Fair odds (decimal)3.98

Arsenal

Fair probability28.4%

Fair odds (decimal)3.52

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC
5 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability59.0%

Fair odds (decimal)1.70

Under

Fair probability41.0%

Fair odds (decimal)2.44

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 5 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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