SPARKSFootball intelligence

FC Porto vs PSV prediction

FC Porto
VSCaptured 20 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
PSV
Captured Pre-match market snapshot
FC Porto61.4%1.63
Draw20.8%4.81
PSV17.8%5.61
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

FC Porto

Fair probability61.4%

Fair odds (decimal)1.63

Draw

Fair probability20.8%

Fair odds (decimal)4.81

PSV

Fair probability17.8%

Fair odds (decimal)5.61

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
2 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability63.2%

Fair odds (decimal)1.58

Under

Fair probability36.8%

Fair odds (decimal)2.72

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 2 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
4 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 3.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability43.3%

Fair odds (decimal)2.31

Under

Fair probability56.7%

Fair odds (decimal)1.76

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 4 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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