SPARKSFootball intelligence

Inter Milan vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction

Inter Milan
VSCaptured 20 Oct 2026, 04:45 UTC
Shakhtar Donetsk
Captured Pre-match market snapshot
Inter Milan79.5%1.26
Draw12.6%7.95
Shakhtar Donetsk7.9%12.63
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Inter Milan

Fair probability79.5%

Fair odds (decimal)1.26

Draw

Fair probability12.6%

Fair odds (decimal)7.95

Shakhtar Donetsk

Fair probability7.9%

Fair odds (decimal)12.63

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 04:45 UTC
2 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability72.8%

Fair odds (decimal)1.37

Under

Fair probability27.2%

Fair odds (decimal)3.67

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 2 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 04:45 UTC
4 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 3.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability54.1%

Fair odds (decimal)1.85

Under

Fair probability45.9%

Fair odds (decimal)2.18

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 4 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 04:45 UTC

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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