No recorded probability history available for this match.
16 bookmakers · consensus
Match winner
CONSENSUS
Lillestrom
Fair probability16.5%
Fair odds (decimal)6.05
Draw
Fair probability20.9%
Fair odds (decimal)4.79
Real Sociedad
Fair probability62.6%
Fair odds (decimal)1.60
Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 22:45 UTC
5 bookmakers · consensus
Goals · over / under 2.5
CONSENSUS
Over
Fair probability58.1%
Fair odds (decimal)1.72
Under
Fair probability41.9%
Fair odds (decimal)2.39
Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 5 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 22:45 UTC
Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.
How probabilities are built
Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.
Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.
