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Man City vs AEK Athens prediction

Man City
VSCaptured 20 Oct 2026, 05:15 UTC
AEK Athens
Captured Pre-match market snapshot
Man City85.8%1.17
Draw9.6%10.40
AEK Athens4.6%21.97
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Man City

Fair probability85.8%

Fair odds (decimal)1.17

Draw

Fair probability9.6%

Fair odds (decimal)10.40

AEK Athens

Fair probability4.6%

Fair odds (decimal)21.97

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 05:15 UTC
2 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability73.6%

Fair odds (decimal)1.36

Under

Fair probability26.4%

Fair odds (decimal)3.78

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 2 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 05:15 UTC
4 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 3.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability54.9%

Fair odds (decimal)1.82

Under

Fair probability45.1%

Fair odds (decimal)2.21

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 4 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 05:15 UTC

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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