SPARKSFootball intelligence

Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt prediction

Napoli
VSCaptured 20 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC
Bodo/Glimt
Captured Pre-match market snapshot
Napoli54.2%1.85
Draw23.6%4.23
Bodo/Glimt22.2%4.50
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Napoli

Fair probability54.2%

Fair odds (decimal)1.85

Draw

Fair probability23.6%

Fair odds (decimal)4.23

Bodo/Glimt

Fair probability22.2%

Fair odds (decimal)4.50

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC
4 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability58.9%

Fair odds (decimal)1.70

Under

Fair probability41.1%

Fair odds (decimal)2.43

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 4 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC
2 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 3.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability39.8%

Fair odds (decimal)2.51

Under

Fair probability60.2%

Fair odds (decimal)1.66

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 2 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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