SPARKSFootball intelligence

NK Celje vs FC Salzburg prediction

NK Celje
VSCaptured 20 Oct 2026, 22:45 UTC
FC Salzburg
Captured Pre-match market snapshot
NK Celje18.9%5.29
Draw22.7%4.41
FC Salzburg58.4%1.71
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

NK Celje

Fair probability18.9%

Fair odds (decimal)5.29

Draw

Fair probability22.7%

Fair odds (decimal)4.41

FC Salzburg

Fair probability58.4%

Fair odds (decimal)1.71

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 22:45 UTC
5 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability57.7%

Fair odds (decimal)1.73

Under

Fair probability42.3%

Fair odds (decimal)2.37

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 5 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 22:45 UTC

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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