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PSG vs Barcelona prediction

PSG
VSCaptured 20 Oct 2026, 03:45 UTC
Barcelona
Captured Pre-match market snapshot
PSG39.0%2.57
Draw22.1%4.53
Barcelona39.0%2.57
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

PSG

Fair probability39.0%

Fair odds (decimal)2.57

Draw

Fair probability22.1%

Fair odds (decimal)4.53

Barcelona

Fair probability39.0%

Fair odds (decimal)2.57

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 03:45 UTC
2 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability79.1%

Fair odds (decimal)1.26

Under

Fair probability20.9%

Fair odds (decimal)4.78

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 2 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 03:45 UTC
4 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 4.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability45.1%

Fair odds (decimal)2.21

Under

Fair probability54.9%

Fair odds (decimal)1.82

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 4 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 03:45 UTC

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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