No recorded probability history available for this match.
16 bookmakers · consensus
Match winner
CONSENSUS
SK Sturm Graz
Fair probability27.6%
Fair odds (decimal)3.63
Draw
Fair probability26.0%
Fair odds (decimal)3.85
Marseille
Fair probability46.5%
Fair odds (decimal)2.15
Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 23:45 UTC
6 bookmakers · consensus
Goals · over / under 2.5
CONSENSUS
Over
Fair probability55.2%
Fair odds (decimal)1.81
Under
Fair probability44.8%
Fair odds (decimal)2.23
Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 6 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 23:45 UTC
Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.
How probabilities are built
Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.
Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.
