Germany Bundesliga I

Union Berlin vs Elversberg
Predictions & Fair Odds

· Upcoming fixture

Captured Pre-match market snapshot

Match winner

16 bookmakers

Union Berlin

40.8%
Fair odds
2.45
Bookmakers
16
Book probability range
39.3%–42.0%

Draw

25.5%
Fair odds
3.92
Bookmakers
16
Book probability range
24.2%–26.9%

Elversberg

33.7%
Fair odds
2.97
Bookmakers
16
Book probability range
32.6%–35.3%

Oldest contributing quote: 8 Oct 2026, 21:40 UTC

Goals · over / under 2.5

2 bookmakers

Over

61.4%
Fair odds
1.63
Bookmakers
2
Book probability range
60.8%–62.0%

Under

38.6%
Fair odds
2.59
Bookmakers
2
Book probability range
38.0%–39.2%

Oldest contributing quote: 8 Oct 2026, 21:40 UTC

Goals · over / under 3.5

4 bookmakers

Over

41.1%
Fair odds
2.43
Bookmakers
4
Book probability range
40.3%–41.6%

Under

58.9%
Fair odds
1.70
Bookmakers
4
Book probability range
58.4%–59.7%

Oldest contributing quote: 8 Oct 2026, 21:40 UTC

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How to read Sparks Market Probability

Sparks Market Probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated bookmaker margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market. We take the median probability for each outcome, then normalize the outcomes to total 100%.

Sparks Fair Odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage uses at least two bookmakers, with quote ages limited to 90 minutes when captured. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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