SPARKSFootball intelligence

Union Saint Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction

Union Saint Gilloise
VSCaptured 20 Oct 2026, 22:15 UTC
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Captured Refresh overdue · historical prices
Union Saint Gilloise72.6%1.38
Draw16.8%5.95
Hapoel Beer Sheva10.6%9.44
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Union Saint Gilloise

Fair probability72.6%

Fair odds (decimal)1.38

Draw

Fair probability16.8%

Fair odds (decimal)5.95

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Fair probability10.6%

Fair odds (decimal)9.44

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 22:15 UTC
2 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability63.2%

Fair odds (decimal)1.58

Under

Fair probability36.8%

Fair odds (decimal)2.72

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 2 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 22:15 UTC
4 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 3.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability43.0%

Fair odds (decimal)2.32

Under

Fair probability57.0%

Fair odds (decimal)1.76

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 4 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 22:15 UTC

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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