SparksOdds · Research
Daily Market Report
Sep 27, 2026
Data windowSep 27, 2026 00:00 → Sep 28, 2026 00:00 UTC
GeneratedSep 28, 2026 00:01 UTC
Market snapshot
- Sparks analyzed
- 42
- Events represented
- 19
- Books represented
- 11
- Leagues represented
- 2
Largest price gaps
| Match | League | Book | Gap | Action | Persisted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao | La Liga - Spain | PlayNow (CA) | -9.32% | PASS | 124h |
| Newcastle United vs Aston Villa | EPL | LeoVegas | -7.65% | PASS | 72h |
| Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City | EPL | LeoVegas | -7.41% | PASS | 118h |
| Manchester City vs Ipswich Town | EPL | LeoVegas | -7.29% | PASS | 72h |
| Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City | EPL | MyBookie.ag | -7.01% | PASS | 118h |
| Bournemouth vs Sunderland | EPL | MyBookie.ag | -6.87% | PASS | 131h |
| Leeds United vs Manchester United | EPL | MyBookie.ag | -6.65% | PASS | 72h |
| Everton vs Chelsea | EPL | MyBookie.ag | -6.64% | PASS | 72h |
| Newcastle United vs Aston Villa | EPL | MyBookie.ag | -6.47% | PASS | 72h |
| Bournemouth vs Sunderland | EPL | William Hill | -6.39% | PASS | 131h |
Most persistent signals
| Match | League | Persisted | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City vs Newcastle United | EPL | 157h 38m | +1.45% |
| Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest | EPL | 157h 38m | -3.53% |
| Ipswich Town vs Fulham | EPL | 142h 13m | -4.92% |
| Bournemouth vs Sunderland | EPL | 131h | -3.03% |
| Bournemouth vs Sunderland | EPL | 131h | -6.87% |
| Bournemouth vs Sunderland | EPL | 131h | -6.39% |
| Bournemouth vs Sunderland | EPL | 131h | -6.39% |
| Fulham vs Hull City | EPL | 131h | -2.63% |
| Fulham vs Hull City | EPL | 131h | -3.21% |
| Fulham vs Hull City | EPL | 131h | -4.95% |
Market dispersion
| League | Sport | Markets | Mean gap | Gap std dev | Dispersion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPL | soccer | 32 | -4.27% | +2.50% | Moderate |
| La Liga - Spain | soccer | 10 | -3.31% | +2.49% | Moderate |
What stood out
Largest gap: Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao (La Liga - Spain) at -9.3% vs fair price. Most active league: EPL (32 Sparks). Longest-lived Spark persisted about 9458 minutes.
Deterministic summary · template-v1
Methodology
- Report window
- Sep 27, 2026 00:00 → Sep 28, 2026 00:00 UTC
- Gap formula
- gap_pct = (price_at_spark ÷ fair_price − 1) × 100
- Persistence
- Time between the first and last observation of the same Spark.
- Dispersion
- Cross-sectional standard deviation of gap_pct across distinct markets in the same league. It is not time-series volatility.
- Publication thresholds
- At least 10 Sparks, 3 distinct events, and 3 distinct books, with an untruncated scan.
- Generation timestamp
- Sep 28, 2026 00:01 UTC