SparksOdds · Research
Daily Market Report
Oct 7, 2026
Data windowOct 7, 2026 00:00 → Oct 8, 2026 00:00 UTC
GeneratedOct 8, 2026 00:03 UTC
Market snapshot
- Sparks analyzed
- 445
- Events represented
- 170
- Books represented
- 15
- Leagues represented
- 72
Largest price gaps
| Match | League | Book | Gap | Action | Persisted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavia vs A.C.D. Sant'Angelo | Italy Serie D Cup | Bet 365 | +396.60% | PASS | 3h 30m |
| Lentigione vs Piacenza | Italy Serie D Cup | Bet 365 | +331.79% | PASS | 3h 39m |
| Novo Horizonte vs Real SC | Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 3 | William Hill | +269.64% | PASS | 3h 30m |
| Shimizu S-Pulse vs V-Varen Nagasaki | Japan FA Cup | Bet 365 | +258.55% | PASS | 3h 20m |
| Maroons vs Lugazi FC | Uganda Premier League | Bet 365 | +191.91% | PASS | 10h 8m |
| Ceramica Cleopatra vs El Masry | Egypt League Cup | Bet 365 | +130.16% | PASS | 7h 9m |
| Kuching City FC vs Tampines Rovers FC | ASEAN Club Championship | Bet 365 | +124.94% | WAIT | 10h 8m |
| Seoul Amazones (W) vs Mungyeong Sangmu (W) | South Korea (W) K League | Bet 365 | +109.59% | PASS | 3h 20m |
| Nigde Belediyespor vs Agri 1970 Spor | Türkiye Cup | Interwetten | +85.35% | WAIT | 3h 20m |
| Republic of Ireland U19 (W) vs Armenia U19 (W) | U19 Euro Championship Qual Women | Bwin | -78.97% | PASS | 6h 28m |
Most persistent signals
| Match | League | Persisted | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Catolica del Ecuador vs LDU Quito | Ecuador Cup | 33h 21m | +0.62% |
| ASD Sasso Marconi vs Cittadella Vis Modena | Italy Serie D Cup | 10h 8m | -16.72% |
| Kuching City FC vs Tampines Rovers FC | ASEAN Club Championship | 10h 8m | +124.94% |
| Maroons vs Lugazi FC | Uganda Premier League | 10h 8m | +191.91% |
| Republic of Ireland U19 (W) vs Armenia U19 (W) | U19 Euro Championship Qual Women | 10h 8m | +4.57% |
| Republic of Ireland U19 (W) vs Armenia U19 (W) | U19 Euro Championship Qual Women | 10h 8m | -78.97% |
| America RN U20 vs Piaui U20 | Copa do Brasil U20 | 7h 9m | +4.34% |
| America RN U20 vs Piaui U20 | Copa do Brasil U20 | 7h 9m | -19.38% |
| Avro FC vs Lancaster City | England Northern Premier League | 7h 9m | -5.99% |
| Avro FC vs Lancaster City | England Northern Premier League | 7h 9m | -4.15% |
Market dispersion
| League | Sport | Markets | Mean gap | Gap std dev | Dispersion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy Serie D Cup | soccer | 45 | +10.36% | +78.23% | High |
| Brazil Serie A | soccer | 29 | -5.07% | +6.27% | High |
| Copa do Brasil U20 | soccer | 19 | -9.98% | +7.77% | High |
| Türkiye Cup | soccer | 18 | +0.56% | +21.64% | High |
| Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves | soccer | 17 | -6.40% | +7.71% | High |
| Brazil Serie B | soccer | 14 | -8.51% | +5.37% | High |
| Venezuela Cup | soccer | 14 | -3.62% | +7.11% | High |
| ASEAN Club Championship | soccer | 13 | +5.82% | +37.56% | High |
What stood out
Largest gap: Pavia vs A.C.D. Sant'Angelo (Italy Serie D Cup) at 396.6% vs fair price. Most active league: Italy Serie D Cup (45 Sparks). Longest-lived Spark persisted about 2002 minutes. Highest gap dispersion: Italy Serie D Cup.
Deterministic summary · template-v1
Methodology
- Report window
- Oct 7, 2026 00:00 → Oct 8, 2026 00:00 UTC
- Gap formula
- gap_pct = (price_at_spark ÷ fair_price − 1) × 100
- Persistence
- Time between the first and last observation of the same Spark.
- Dispersion
- Cross-sectional standard deviation of gap_pct across distinct markets in the same league. It is not time-series volatility.
- Publication thresholds
- At least 10 Sparks, 3 distinct events, and 3 distinct books, with an untruncated scan.
- Generation timestamp
- Oct 8, 2026 00:03 UTC