SparksOdds · Research
Daily Market Report
Oct 8, 2026
Data windowOct 8, 2026 00:00 → Oct 9, 2026 00:00 UTC
GeneratedOct 9, 2026 00:05 UTC
Market snapshot
- Sparks analyzed
- 922
- Events represented
- 212
- Books represented
- 15
- Leagues represented
- 100
Largest price gaps
| Match | League | Book | Gap | Action | Persisted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plaza Colonia vs Juventud De Las Piedras | Uruguay Cup | Bet 365 | +729.16% | PASS | 10h 25m |
| Mineros de Guayana vs Monagas | Venezuela Cup | Bet 365 | +522.69% | PASS | 10h 39m |
| Coatepeque FC vs Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa | Guatemala Primera Division | Bet 365 | +522.31% | PASS | 7h |
| Greece (W) vs England (W) | Womens World Cup Qual | 1xBet | -49.86% | PASS | 3h 24m |
| Vinotinto Ecuador vs CD Cuenca Jrs | Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Easybets | -39.02% | PASS | 3h 30m |
| Greece (W) vs England (W) | Womens World Cup Qual | Vcbet | -39.00% | PASS | 7h 49m |
| Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | Israel Liga Alef North | Interwetten | +35.82% | PASS | 4h 24m |
| Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | Israel Liga Alef North | 10BET | +34.39% | PASS | 4h 24m |
| Belgrano Reserves vs San Martin de San Juan Reserves | Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves | Bet 365 | -34.27% | PASS | 14h 49m |
| Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Dubai United | UAE League Cup | Bet 365 | -34.21% | PASS | 4h 24m |
Most persistent signals
| Match | League | Persisted | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ain SCC vs Al Ittihad Kalba | UAE League Cup | 14h 49m | -20.26% |
| Al Ain SCC vs Al Ittihad Kalba | UAE League Cup | 14h 49m | -31.43% |
| Al Ittihad Al Sakandary vs Wadi Degla | Egypt League Cup | 14h 49m | -6.98% |
| Atletico Grau vs CD Los Chankas | Peru Liga 1 | 14h 49m | -13.20% |
| Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima | Colombia Primera A | 14h 49m | +5.75% |
| Belgrano Reserves vs San Martin de San Juan Reserves | Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves | 14h 49m | -34.27% |
| Belgrano Reserves vs San Martin de San Juan Reserves | Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves | 14h 49m | +7.65% |
| FC Holon Yermiyahu vs AS Nordia Jerusalem | Israel Liga Alef South | 14h 49m | -4.65% |
| Ferroviario Maputo vs Vilankulo FC | Mozambique Mocambola | 14h 49m | -3.76% |
| Fluminense vs Coritiba | Brazil Serie A | 14h 49m | -14.26% |
Market dispersion
| League | Sport | Markets | Mean gap | Gap std dev | Dispersion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands Eerste Divisie | soccer | 45 | -5.66% | +3.64% | Moderate |
| Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves | soccer | 34 | -6.68% | +11.27% | High |
| Türkiye 1 Lig | soccer | 34 | -6.03% | +2.55% | Moderate |
| South Korea K League 2 | soccer | 33 | -8.20% | +2.99% | Moderate |
| Israel Leumit Liga | soccer | 32 | -5.95% | +4.37% | Moderate |
| Wales Premier League | soccer | 32 | -6.88% | +9.30% | High |
| France Ligue 2 | soccer | 29 | -7.16% | +3.23% | Moderate |
| Brazil Serie A | soccer | 26 | -5.71% | +6.60% | High |
What stood out
Largest gap: Plaza Colonia vs Juventud De Las Piedras (Uruguay Cup) at 729.2% vs fair price. Most active league: Netherlands Eerste Divisie (45 Sparks). Longest-lived Spark persisted about 890 minutes. Highest gap dispersion: Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves.
Deterministic summary · template-v1
Methodology
- Report window
- Oct 8, 2026 00:00 → Oct 9, 2026 00:00 UTC
- Gap formula
- gap_pct = (price_at_spark ÷ fair_price − 1) × 100
- Persistence
- Time between the first and last observation of the same Spark.
- Dispersion
- Cross-sectional standard deviation of gap_pct across distinct markets in the same league. It is not time-series volatility.
- Publication thresholds
- At least 10 Sparks, 3 distinct events, and 3 distinct books, with an untruncated scan.
- Generation timestamp
- Oct 9, 2026 00:05 UTC